October 28, 2022 | Posted in: NFL
This post shares five picks against the spread for Week 8 of the 2022 NFL Season in a super contest format. Players receive one point for being correct, a half point for tying, and zero points for being incorrect.
2022 Super Contest
Season to Date: 21-14
Denver +3.5 (v. Jacksonville in London)
Previously documenting my opinions on this number, +3.5 as a spread.
Las Vegas -2 (at New Orleans)
Two weeks in a row have chalked wins against the spread for Vegas so we’ll roll them a third week in a row
New York Jets +2.5 (at New England)
This is the worst spread for an underdog. Similar to Vegas, we’ve won two weeks in a row on the New York Jets so we’ll roll them a third week in what amounts to a terrible Super Contest pick even if the spread moves to +3.
Tennessee -2 (at Houston)
Road favorite in a division game is dangerous. Tennessee has covered four straight with us winning on the Titans twice so we’re gonna roll them again under a theory teams get on a roll covering spreads. After seven weeks of data, we aren’t as overtly concerned 68% of the bets are on Tennessee. We saw Baltimore win outright as a two point underdog Week 8 Thursday night game with 74% of the bets on Baltimore.
Cleveland +3.5 (at home v. Cincinnati)
A division game and my favorite spread besides +7.5. The news Ja’Marr Chase will miss four to six weeks and will miss the Week 8 Monday Night game has sent the spread to +3. Cincinnati has covered five straight and we missed the boat on the theory teams get on a roll covering the spread a bit losing on Cincinnati Week 6 after winning on the Bengals in Weeks 3-5. Cleveland covered last week … do the Browns get on a roll covering spreads and winning games outright to give the Super Bowl future at 28-1 legs?