January 5, 2021 | Posted in: Publishing

Published for a friend

Five games scheduled

Utah Jazz @ Brooklyn Nets (+4.5)

Los Angeles Lakers @ Memphis Grizzlies (+9)

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets (-10.5)

San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers (-9.5)

Chicago Bulls @ Portland Trailblazers (-9.5)

Truths to be self evident

The Brooklyn Nets will be without Kevin Durant due to COVID protocols the next seven days and the Utah Jazz are so heavily favored with 61% of the bets and 80% of the money, surely Brooklyn winning outright is the bet to make.

The Lakers meet the Grizzlies for the second time in three days. Should we expect the outcome to be any different two days later? Minnesota and Denver also meet for the second time in three days. Should we expect a different outcome?

The Spurs may get LaMarcus Aldridge back from injury but the spread continues to move toward double digits. Double digit spreads are 5-5 on the season with the most recent cover by the Detroit Pistons (+16) against the Milwaukee Bucks last night.

The Chicago Bulls, fresh off a win against the Dallas Mavericks without Luka Doncic face Dame in Portland who were lit up by Steph Curry two nights ago.

The computer

The computer, whom we respect, is picking Memphis, San Antonio, and Chicago to cover. Yesterday, the computer went 4-5 against the spread and 4-5 on over/unders. Correctly picking Boston and the Knicks to cover beat the sharps who went 4-4 yesterday.

“Systems” like San Antonio +9.5 and Minnesota +10.5 as these are road teams off against the spread road losses. However, the early trend in teams meeting in consecutive contests over three days is the result is the same from the first game meaning the Lakers and Denver should both cover tonight.