We have enjoyed three cash finishes in our first year of Draft Kings and are hoping Week 4 Sunday Classic gives us our first monumental cash finish of the season.
Mahomes is a God
Mahomes is on pace for 6,300 yards and 53 touchdown passes through three games on the season. One can only hope to contain him and what’s scary is all this madness with the yardage and touchdowns being accomplished with Tyreek Hill on the sidelines with a weird collarbone injury.
Week 4 finds Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs traveling to Detroit facing a surprisingly undefeated Lions squad. Detroit ranks just 22nd against the pass through games surrendering 269.3 yards per game. We look for Mahomes to be Mahomes and score 30+ fantasy points
Value at Running Back
The Detroit/Kansas City game has the highest over/under of any weekend game, standing currently at 55. Kansas City ranks 26th against the run surrendering a paltry 137.7 yards per contest on the ground. We look for Kerryon Johnson to be utilized heavily in this game.
Marlon Mack faces an Oakland defense ranked 19th against the run giving up 119 yards on the ground per game. Mack is ranked highly by most prognosticators and the game sits at 45 over/under.
More Value at Wide Receiver
We’re going with Kenny Golladay in the highest over/under game of the week hoping he bounces back after flopping in Week 3 with high expectations.
We’re going to be watching Julian Edelman’s status for Sunday’s game. Edelman has been limited all week, amazing his teammates, and he’s just the kind of guy to tough through this injury because he’s a man’s man.
Rookie Terry McLaurin is becoming Case Keenum’s favorite target playing for a team throwing the ball due to second half deficits. The New York Football Giants rank 31st agains the pass surrendering a ridiculous 460.3 yards per contest. We and the prognosticators like McLaurin to continue his hot start.
Top Dollar at Tight End
We’re going with Travis Kelce, paying top dollar for Mahomes favorite target. We’re adding Kansas City’s big play threat, rookie Mecole Hardman, stepping into the Tyreek Hill role and look for him to continue his big play capability.
Los Angeles Rams Defense
Tampa’s offensive line is porous, Tampa is traveling out west, Aaron Donald got his first sack last week, and Famous Jameis is well overdue for a pick six.
After a cash finish in Monday Night’s Week 3 Showdown, we are excited to enter this team in Thursday Night’s game where the Eagles of Philadelphia travel to the Packers of Green Bay where perhaps the Packers will prevail by kicking an oblong ball made of pigskin through a big H.
Who else but Rodgers as Captain?
Aaron Rodgers is a Hall of Famer playing at home on a short week against an Eagles team struggling against the pass. After three weeks, the Eagles rank 29th against pass giving up 293.7 yards per game and allowing 2.33 touchdown passes per game.
Nelson Agholor will o/u 2.5 drops
Green Bay is playing stellar defense ranking fifth against the pass surrendering just 192.7 yards per contest and has allowed just one passing touchdown on the season. Our expectation is these numbers are skewed on the low end and Wentz could have a decent night.
DeSean Jackson remains on the sidelines with an abdominal injury and while Alshon Jeffrey “could play” Thursday Night, we like Agholor to once again dominate target shares as he produced eight catches on 12 targets in the Eagles’ Week 3 loss to the Lions.
GB pass catchers galore
We’re paying top price for DaVante Adams and adding Marquez Valdes-Scantling as he dominated the target share in Week 3 against the Lions totaling six grabs on ten targets for 99 yards and a touchdown.
Detroit’s Big Play Darius Slay covered Adams well in week 3 as Adams caught all four of his targets for 56 yards.
Will Packers D continue hot start?
Team defenses are always a decent play in Showdown as the prices allow for more high priced stars like Adams and making Rodgers captain. Green Bay sacked Joe Flacco six times in Week 3 while Wentz was sacked three times by a surprisingly undefeated Lions team. We like the sacks to fall somewhere in the middle in Thursday’s contest and maybe Green Bay scores on defense or special teams.
Mack Hollins a decent play?
With DeSean Jackson out with injury, Hollins saw seven targets in Week 3, producing four catches for 62 yards. At $2,400 for Thursday’s contest, Hollins offers decent value.
After another cash finish in Monday Night’s Showdown featuring the Cleveland Browns throttling of the hapless New York Jets, we are excited to enter this line-up for Thursday Night’s game featuring the Tennessee Titans traveling to Jacksonville to play the 0-2 Jaguars.
Titans defense as our Captain
After two weeks, Tennessee ranks 11th overall in total defense by yards allowed while giving up 16 points per game. The Titans are particularly stout against the pass, ranking second overall while allowing 182.5 passing yards a game. Tennessee is more susceptible to the run, ranking 26th overall, giving up nearly 135 yards per game.
Running backs reign supreme
Thursday night games are traditionally sloppy, especially early in the season and we expect both Derrick Henry and Leonard Fournette to be featured in heavy volume. Jacksonville ranks 17th agains the run, surrendering nearly 120 yards per game.
Mariota a decent night?
We’re going with Marcus Mariota as our only quarterback as Jacksonville ranks 19th against the pass surrounding 257.5 yards per contest without an interception on the season. Mariota was effective Week 2 against Indianapolis, throwing for 154 yards with one touchdown while completing 19/28 passes and a rating of 93.5.
Delanie Walker an early stud
Walker has been particularly effective in the first two weeks and is Mariota’s favorite option in the passing game. Walker has nine catches for 94 yards and a two touchdowns on the season.
Cairo Santos the final slot
The kicker prices allow for higher priced options in the other five slots. We’ll go with Santos to kick a couple field goals in what should be a low scoring affair.
Los Angeles Rams Stack
In a rematch of the 2018 NFC Championship game, the New Orleans Saints travel to Los Angeles to face Jared Goff and the Rams. The o/u sits at 52 and after New Orleans surrendered 28 points to Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans in a thrilling 30-28 win Week 1, this game has all the makings of a shootout.
Devin Singletary, Alvin Kamara
We’re going to spend the big bucks on Kamara ($8200) after Christian McCaffrey gashed the Rams for 209 all purpose yards and two touchdowns. Kamara was held out of the end zone in Week 1 so we like his chances to score multiple times in a high scoring affair against the Rams.
Singletary produced 98 total yards on 9 touches, including five catches. While future Hall of Fame back Frank Gore is technically the “starter”, Singletary is the more talented player and could thrive as a stingy Buffalo defense could mean a low score for the Giants and multiple running opportunities late in the game.
Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods
Kupp ($6,000) and Woods ($6,400) combined for 23 targets Week 1 in the Rams’ 30-27 win over Carolina. Cooks managed six targets so we’re going with the odds the duo dominates the target share for a second straight week.
Tyrell Williams, Darren Waller
Oakland, minus Antonio Brown and his dramatics, defeated the Denver Broncos 24-16 Week 1 in the last Monday Night game ever at Oakland Coliseum. Williams ($4,400) grabbed six of seven targets for 105 yards and a touchdown while Waller ($3,300) saw eight targets with seven receptions for 70 yards.
The Raiders, again at home, face the high octane Kansas Chiefs’ offense with the o/u string at an astounding 53.5. The fireworks could be real.
Michael Thomas as the Flex
Sticking with a stud wide receiver in the flex position, Thomas ($8,000) had 10 receptions for 123 yards on 13 targets in the Saints’ Week 1 win over the Texans.
Week 1 of the 2019 NFL Season has finally arrived with a divisional NFC North game featuring Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers traveling to Chicago with Mitchell Trubisky leading a hungry Bears team. Are you going to play Thursday Night Showdown on Draft Kings? We are and you see our team.
All Important Captain Spot
We chose Trubisky ($17,400) because Green Bay’s defense is supposedly soft and Trubisky is playing at home. Stacking in a guaranteed prize pool game is a strategy and Trubisky, in our opinion, had a better stack than Rodgers, preferring to avoid the current coin toss of Geronimo Allison and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
We run a two QB team in showdown
Aaron Rodgers ($12,400) is 16-5 in his career against the Bears and we all remember last year when Rodgers returned from injury against the Bears, in the first game of the season for both teams in 2018, with the Packers prevailing However, we have to free up the salary cap, especially when the QB is our captain for the game, earning 1.5 fantasy points yet costing 1.5 More to roster. Trubisky is over looked as a potential captain.
Kickers free up money in showdown
Mason Crosby ($3,200) is a safe kicker play as the Chicago kicking game remains to be proven. Even if Trey Burton plays, Adam Shaheen ($400) offeres tremendous upside value and meets our goals for this week’s Thursday game.
Stacking the Chicago Run Game
Stacking, a strategy, offers some home run capability. David Montgomery ($8,200) will be heavily owned as many expect volume against a below average Packer defense. Speculation abounds regarding Tarik Cohen ($8,400) being less involved, leading to more optimism regarding Montgomery’s total touches. However, we’ll believe it when we see it. Last season, Cohen had six games with at least five carries and five receptions. Cohen had six or more receptions in six games. We’re gambling this is a 37.5% game for Cohen where he has at least ten touches with five receptions with a 5/16 chance Cohen scores a TD on a reception, from our captain. Good luck all.