September 29, 2022 | Posted in: NFL

This post makes five picks against the spread for Week 4 of the 2022 NFL Season in a Super Contest format. A player receives one point for being correct, a half point for tying and zero points for being incorrect.

2022 NFL Super Contest

Week 3 Results – 4-1

Season to Date – 9-6

This past Sunday, in Week 3, the predictions were perfect heading into Sunday Night Football featuring San Francisco at Denver. San Francisco lost 11-10, a total baseball score, costing the predictions a perfect week. Atlanta and Carolina winning outright gave more precedence to the “kitchen sink” week of 0-2 teams who are also 0-2 against the spread both covering the spread and winning outright.

Cleveland -1.5 (at Atlanta)

Atlanta is coming off a road win in Seattle against what could be the worst team in the NFL while Cleveland is coming off a twelve point division win this past Thursday and has ten days of preparation time. Myles Garrett was involved in a car accident and might not play but my cat doesn’t see how Atlanta will stop the run and Browns quarterback Jacoby Brissett is playing average enough for the Browns to win this game by at least a field goal.

New Orleans +3 (vs. Minnesota in London)

This is a buy low sell kinda high opportunity as New Orleans looked awful in losing to Carolina Week 3 while Minnesota rallied from down ten points in the fourth quarter to win at home against division rival Detroit. London games are difficult to handicap as there is no home field advantage. The London crowd, in my cat’s opinion, should favor New Orleans as their super bowl win some years ago was right on the cusp of the NFL becoming a truly global game.

Los Angeles Chargers -5 (at Houston)

Houston has been scrappy this season going 2-0-1 against the spread in 2022 while the Chargers offer a classic buy low situation after getting lambasted by the Jacksonville Jaguars at home 38-10. Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has another week to heal his broken rib cartilage and we have yet to see a good game from Austin Ekeler. There’s value in this line with all the Charger injuries.

Denver +2.5 (at Las Vegas)

Week 3 of the 2022 NFL Season offered “kitchen sink” games and my cat contends there are “kitchen sink” opportunities in Week 4 with the advent of the 18 week NFL Season. Las Vegas sits at 0-3 overall and 0-3 against the spread. However, my cat doesn’t think anyone can back this Vegas team especially with Russell Wilson finding his groove this past Sunday night against the 49ers on the last drive in what was a vintage Russ game winning drive in the fourth quarter.

Tennessee +3.5 (at Indianapolis)

My cat thinks this is a classic Mike Vrabel underdog situation especially with Indianapolis being over valued after defeating Kansas City outright as seven point underdogs even though the spread compressed before Indianapolis’ game against the Chiefs to +5. Mahomes is always a heavy public favorite and this translates into value in the Tennessee spread. This is a division game my cat sees a field goal either way and we have the hook.