October 5, 2022 | Posted in: NFL

This post shares five picks against the spread for Week 5 of the 2022 NFL Season in a Super Contest format. A player receives one point for being correct, a half point for tying, and zero points for being incorrect.

2022 NFL Super Contest

Week 4 Results – 3-2

Publisher’s Note: New Orleans vs. Minnesota (in London) closed at New Orleans +3.5. The published Super Contest pick in Week 4 was New Orleans +3, however, the Westgate Contest entry would have been +3.5 so we are counting this as a win opposed to a push.

Season to Date – 12-8

Indianapolis +3.5 (at Denver)

My cat normally does not like to use Thursday night as a Super Contest selection but sees value in this line for a few reasons. Indianapolis lost last week to Tennessee, Jonathan Taylor might not play, and stud line backer Darius Shaquille Leonard is out. However, Russell Wilson is also a bit banged up and the Broncos defense placed Randy Gregory on injured reserve plus running back Javonte Williams will miss the rest of the season. 15% of NFL games end with a three point differential. Prime time games are under the total (42 in this game) at a ridiculous rate the first four weeks of the NFL Season. A potentially close game and low scoring affair my cat will take three points and the hook.

Houston +7.5 (at Jacksonville)

My cat sees this as a division games with four weeks of film and has a philosophy division games are, potentially, one score games. Jacksonville remains over valued after shellacking the Chargers on the road 38-10 in Week 3 and hanging tough on the road against the Eagles, who have the look of the best team in the NFL, in Week 4 losing 29-21. 70% of the bets are on Jacksonville creating further value in the line and the line has moved to +7 making my cat feel slightly sharp. Houston has the look of a team 4-1 against the spread after five weeks.

New York Jets +3.5 (at home against Miami)

Miami will be without quarterback Tua and a ridiculous 80% of the bets are on Miami. The spread has already moved to Jets +3 leaving my cat, once again, feeling slightly sharp. Another division game with a philosophy division games with four weeks on film are potentially one score games with the book makers predicting a close game and we have the hook. All Teddy Bridgewater does is cover spreads and he is right handed but even Miami -3 is a total square bet at this point.

Las Vegas +7.5 (at Kansas City)

My cat sees this as another division game with division games perhaps being one score games. Fading Patrick Mahomes, because he’s such a heavy public favorite, has produced a 2-2 record against the spread and my cat is going to fade Mahomes again in Week 5 on Monday Night Football. Vegas was finally able to produce their first win of the 2022 NFL Season and their first win against the spread against Denver in Week 4. Josh Jacobs is returning to a bell cow back for the Raiders and this could finally be the week Davante Adams and Derek Carr get their connection going. A ridiculous 81% of the bets are on Kansas City creating further value in the line.

Cleveland +3 (at home vs. Los Angeles Chargers)